Monthly Archives: August 2015

2015 AFC Conference Championship Futures

2015 AFC Conference Championship Futures

2015 AFC Conference Championship FuturesWhile the Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys are the two favorites to win the Super Bowl at the online sportsbook, here we’ll review the odds to win the 2015 AFC Conference Championship.

The top two teams to come out of the AFC are the New England Patriots and Indianapolis Colts. Curiously, Indy has a slight edge over the Pats to claim the AFC crown, with a Colts trip to the Super Bowl earning a +320 payout and the Pats returning a +330 payday. However, New England has a better chance to win the Super Bowl in the eyes of the online sportsbooks, having a 7:1 payout while the Colts are 8:1 odds to win it all.

Obviously, the news of Tom Brady’s suspension and all the drama associated with Deflategate has put a damper on the start of New England’s season. The Pats opened as a 7-point favorite in their Thursday Night season opener against Pittsburgh, and the online sportsbooks that are even taking action on the game have the Pats all the way down to a 2.5-point choice.

The Colts won 11 games last year, and have little competition in the weak AFC South. Last year there were just four teams that finished with 3 or fewer victories, and two of those four teams reside in this conference (Jacksonville and Tennessee). With four combined games against those two clubs, the Colts schedule is kind and they are almost assuredly going to win the division barring any injuries.

The Pats have a bit of a tougher road ahead – especially with the distinct possibility of not having Tom Brady for the first four games of the season. However, after they get Brady back we wouldn’t want to bet against the Patriots playing with something to prove.

Denver is next on the list to come out of the AFC with a 5:1 payout. Peyton Manning is back, and he’ll have a new head coach and a revamped offensive line. Not sure how much Manning has left in the tank, and if Manning goes down with an injury then the Broncos are doomed. Not out of the realm of possibility for Denver to reach the Super Bowl, but we don’t like the risk-reward here.
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Baltimore is the final team with odds less than 10:1, paying out at +900 to win the conference. Not much bad to say about the Ravens other than they reside in an extremely competitive AFC North where we could honestly see the Ravens, Bengals, or Steelers finishing on top of the standings. 9:1 is a pretty good payout, but the Pats and Colts sure look like the safer NFL Futures bet.

We’ll be back next week with a look at the NFC Conference Championship betting odds.

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2015 NFL Hall of Fame Game Betting Preview

2015 NFL Hall of Fame Game Betting Preview

2015 NFL Hall of Fame Game Betting Preview Two teams with playoff aspirations kick off the 2015 NFL Football season on Sunday night from Canton, OH in the Hall of Fame Game. The Minnesota Vikings reacquired the services of running back Adrian Peterson, and with a revamped passing game behind young Teddy Bridgewater they look to improve on last year’s 7-win campaign.

Pittsburgh finished atop the AFC North last year with an 11-5 mark, but fell in the Wild Card round against fellow division mate Baltimore. A consistent rushing attack led by Le’Veon Bell helped the Steelers regain their identity which was lost in the 2013 season, and while they’ll miss him for two games they are still expected to be a major player in the AFC.

Online sportsbook gives both of these teams a shot at making the playoffs, with Minnesota pegged at a season win over/under at 7.5 wins and the Steelers expected to do one game better at 8.5 wins.

For this first preseason matchup, Minnesota is listed as a 2.5-point betting favorite in the Hall of Fame Game. Pittsburgh is generally regarded as the better team, but in the preseason the strength of both teams’ starters doesn’t mean much.

Pittsburgh went 1-3 last preseason and lost all four of their August tilts in 2013. Some head coaches have tendencies on how they approach these meaningless contests, and Mike Tomlin clearly hasn’t put much stock into win/loss results.

The Vikings went 3-1 last August under head coach Mike Tice, outscoring those four teams by an average of 10 ppg. Not sure the Vikings defense can match the 12.2 ppg allowed last August, but they certainly played with a mentality not seen throughout the league.

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Three of the last four Hall of Fame Games have seen final scores of less than 30 points – not that surprising considering the small amount of playing time the starters receive. Given Minnesota’s defensive mentality of last August, playing Under the posted total of 35 points should be considered.

We’ll be back next week to break down some of the marquee games of the first full week of NFL Preseason betting action.

aaron kromer suspended from bills

Coach Kromer Suspended from the Bills for 6 Games

aaron kromer suspendedCoach Aaron Kromer, the offensive coach for the Buffalo Bills has been suspended for the first six games of the regular season without pay.  The suspension was announced Sunday night by Russ Brandon, the President of the Bills saying that it was for violating the NFL’s personal conduct policy.

The action comes after the Kromer was allegedly accused of pushing a kid on the ground and punching him the face last month over 2 boys using his beach chairs.  According to the Walton County Sherrif’s Office, Kromer had also threatened to kill one of the boy’s family if he reported to the police the incident.

Two days after Kromer was arrested, he was placed on paid leave but will be joining the team for training camp.  His 6 games suspension will begin on Set. 7, 2015 and end on October 18, 2015.

Even though the Florida prosecutor dropped the charges of battery for causing bodily harm, Russ Brandon felt that all NFL and Club employees are held to a higher standard.

Several players who bet on the NFL believe that this suspension will not greatly affect their betting on the Bills as Kromer is a recent hired from January as part of Rex Ryan’s new staff.